Flight delay prediction

المؤلف: Mihai Nan

متوسط

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وصف المسألة

✈️ Flight Delay Prediction 🕒

🇺🇸 Context

The Federal Aviation Administration wants to develop a system capable of predicting flight arrival delays (in minutes) based on historical information about airlines, airports, and operational conditions.

For this purpose, you are provided with a dataset aggregated at the level of:
(year, month, airline, airport).

📦 Available Features

Name	Description
`sample_id`	Unique sample ID (e.g., `0194048`)
`year`	Reporting year
`month`	Reporting month
`carrier`	Airline code
`carrier_name`	Full airline name
`airport`	Airport code (IATA)
`airport_name`	Airport name
`arr_flights`	Total number of arrived flights
`arr_del15`	Number of arrivals delayed >15 minutes
`carrier_ct`	Delays attributed to the carrier
`weather_ct`	Delays caused by weather conditions
`nas_ct`	Delays caused by the national air system (NAS)
`security_ct`	Security-related delays
`late_aircraft_ct`	Delays caused by late-arriving aircraft
`arr_cancelled`	Cancelled flights
`arr_diverted`	Diverted flights
`delay`	Target variable — total arrival delay (minutes, available only in `train.csv`)

Note: In test.csv, the delay column is absent and needs to be predicted.

🎯 Problem Objective

Train a model to predict delay (in minutes) using the features listed above.

The final result should be submitted as a submission.csv file.

📝 Submission Format

The file should be:

sample_id,delay
0194048,132
0194049,0
0194050,215

where:

sample_id must match the values in test.csv
delay represents an integer, the model's predicted delay

📊 Evaluation

Evaluation is performed using MAE (Mean Absolute Error):

$MAE$

🏆 Final Score

MAE ≤ 400 → 100 points
MAE ≥ 600 → 0 points
Intermediate values receive proportional scores between 0 and 100.

🔎 Notes

You are free to use any ML technique.
Preprocessing, encoding, and feature engineering are allowed.

Good luck and smooth flying! ✨

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